Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket accurately predicted Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election, despite polling experts suggesting a narrow lead for Vice President Kamala Harris. The accuracy of these prediction markets has led to praise for their ability to assess current events and provide transparent data. Experts have suggested that prediction markets disrupt the traditional way of assessing events and should be trusted more than traditional polls. However, opinions on the accuracy of polls versus prediction markets remain divided, with some claiming that polls were mostly correct while others argue that prediction markets provided a more accurate forecast. The success of prediction markets in predicting election outcomes highlights the potential of blockchain technology and its ability to give individuals a platform for voicing their opinions.



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