The article discusses the promises made by President-elect Donald Trump to the Bitcoin and crypto communities during his presidential run and analyzes which of these promises are likely to be fulfilled during his second term. According to data from Polymarket, traders expect pardons for the January 6 defendants and Ross Ulbricht, as well as possible support for a strategic Bitcoin reserve. The likelihood of new tariffs on Mexico or Canada and an executive order on crypto is also being watched. Polymarket assigns a high probability to pardons and selected crypto policies. Other potential outcomes include TikTok remaining operational, the declassifying of JFK assassination files, and the Gulf of Mexico being renamed the "Gulf of America." However, some events, such as resolving the Ukraine conflict or acquiring Greenland, have lower probabilities. Traders are overall more positive about a pro-crypto administration under Trump, although major reforms are not expected within the first 100 days. The data from Polymarket is fluid and may change based on official statements or early actions by the administration.



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