CandleFocus

Presidential Debate: 74% Think Kamala Harris Will Win

According to the prediction market Polymarket, Vice President Kamala Harris is predicted to win the Presidential Debate scheduled for September 10th, with only a 27% chance for former President Donald Trump. While the debate victory may not directly reflect the outcome of the US elections, it can impact overall election sentiments. The prediction market also includes bets on various topics that may be mentioned during the debate, with 90% believing Harris may discuss abortion and 59% predicting a mention of convicted felons. Interestingly, only 9% expect Harris to mention cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, while 30% believe she will discuss artificial intelligence (AI). Conversely, the odds of what Trump will say in the debate indicate that 82% believe he will talk about abortion and 77% about the Border Czar. Additionally, 14% think Trump will mention crypto in his speech, despite the prediction market underplaying this compared to his usual mentions of crypto in public speeches.

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