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MicroStrategy Bitcoin Holdings May Reach Over 1Million BTC by 2030

The article discusses Bitcoin's current price movement, with it testing levels below $95k and experiencing a 4% drop in the last 24 hours. It then focuses on a prediction made by PlanC regarding MicroStrategy's Bitcoin accumulation strategy. PlanC suggests that by January 1, 2030, MicroStrategy could hold over 1 million Bitcoins based on a statistical analysis called polynomial fit. Additionally, the article highlights that MicroStrategy is ahead of schedule in reaching this target, with the company on track to exceed 1 million BTC by December 8, 2025.

It is noted that MicroStrategy has been purchasing Bitcoin, resulting in unrealized gains of over 80% on their holdings. However, these purchases have led to a sharp rise in liabilities, reaching $3.95 billion by Q1 2024. MicroStrategy currently owns around 386,700 Bitcoins, bought for $21.9 billion at an average price of $56,761 per Bitcoin. The company's stock has seen significant growth but dropped over 15% after a short-seller announced they were betting against it.

MicroStrategy's future is heavily dependent on Bitcoin's price movement. In the worst-case scenario, a collapse in Bitcoin's value could negatively impact the company's valuation due to dilution and rising debt. On the other hand, if Bitcoin's price soars, MicroStrategy's balance sheet would strengthen significantly. Bullish predictions for Bitcoin's future are mentioned, including potential prices of $3.8 million by 2030 by Cathie Wood, $1 million by 2040-2042 by Chamath Palihapitiya, and even $1 billion by 2028-2030 by Fidelity.

If these price targets are achieved, MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings could far exceed its current market value. However, some analysts express concerns about the potential impact of such a huge accumulation on the crypto market's liquidity.

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