The current bitcoin market cycle is being closely observed by investors as they question whether it will follow historical patterns. In the past, bull markets were driven by a diminishing liquid supply of bitcoin, but the current cycle is seeing major holders like Grayscale selling off their assets. However, entities like MicroStrategy and new ETFs are accumulating vast amounts of bitcoin, potentially leading to a supply crunch. The wider economic environment, movements in the M2 money supply, and potential quantitative easing by central banks are seen as catalysts for bitcoin's growth. The rise in global adoption and interest from nation-states is also making this cycle unique, as bitcoin becomes a hedge for inflation and sovereign risk. While some experts predict a peak in Q2 2025, the unique conditions of this cycle warrant a cautious outlook. The influx in global liquidity has not immediately affected bitcoin's price, but the FTX scandal could serve as a bullish catalyst. Ultimately, the decision points for investors involve weighing the current market momentum against the prospects of an uptrend. Despite potential deviations from past patterns, the fundamental principles of bitcoin's deflationary model and growing institutional interest suggest a strong market cycle.



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