According to a new supply-and-demand equilibrium model, Bitcoin could potentially reach a price of over $1 million by January 2027. The model takes into account factors such as adoption, liquidity, and Bitcoin reserves to forecast price trajectories after each halving. It suggests that even modest daily withdrawals from Bitcoin's liquid supply, combined with institutional presence, could drive the price towards seven-figure levels in less than three years. If larger-scale removal of Bitcoin from active trading occurs, along with accelerating demand, the price could surpass $1 million by early 2027. Under more aggressive assumptions about reserves and adoption, the price could reach $2 million by 2028 and potentially into multimillion-dollar territory by the early 2030s. This model differs from traditional statistical models as it focuses on forward-looking factors such as structural demand changes and strategic accumulation. However, uncertainties still remain regarding lost or permanently held coins, timing and scale of institutional adoption, and potential regulatory changes.



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