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How Bitcoin Will React After The U.S. Election

The article discusses the historical correlation between Bitcoin's price and the U.S. stock market during presidential election periods. It notes that Bitcoin has shown a strong correlation with the S&P 500, especially during bull cycles and periods of risk-on sentiment in traditional markets. The S&P 500 has typically reacted positively following U.S. elections, with significant gains in the year following an election. This pattern has been consistent over the past few decades. The article suggests that resolving uncertainty and boosting investor confidence, rather than the winning party, drives these positive market trends. Looking ahead to the 2024 election, the author speculates that if historical trends hold, Bitcoin's price could see significant increases. However, it also mentions that returns have decreased by about 50% with each occurrence, suggesting that a realistic target for November 2025 could be around $125,000. Overall, the data suggests that the period after a U.S. presidential election is generally bullish for both the stock market and Bitcoin.

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