CandleFocus

CHART: Prediction markets favor Trump over Harris on final day of US elections

On the final day of the 2024 United States presidential election, prediction markets seem to be favoring Donald Trump in the race for the White House. Crypto-based prediction platform Polymarket values a position in Trump winning at 61 cents, while Kamala Harris' position is valued at approximately 38 cents. Kalshi, another crypto-based market, is currently engaged in a dispute with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission but allows the purchase of Trump positions for 59 cents and Harris positions for 42 cents. PredictIt, a traditional prediction market, offers positions in Trump and Harris for 55 cents and 52 cents respectively. Online casino Bovada gives Trump higher odds at -165 and Harris at +145. The involvement of the crypto industry in the election has grown, with significant donations made by industry-affiliated firms and individuals.

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