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Bitcoin Mining Costs Soar as Miners Expect Long-Term Price Boosts

The Bitcoin mining industry is facing challenges such as declining revenues, increasing production costs, and limited access to credit. Despite these difficulties, miners are expanding their infrastructure in anticipation of a favorable Bitcoin price trajectory in the long term. CoinShares' Q3 2024 report reveals that mining expansion has raised both difficulty and production costs. The average cash cost per Bitcoin has increased, indicating that mining profitability is dependent on favorable Bitcoin prices. Miners are turning to advanced models to predict profitability under varying conditions. The industry is diversifying into areas like AI to supplement revenue, as fee revenue alone is unlikely to sustain profitability. Capital efficiency is critical as investors become more concerned about high operational costs and shareholder dilution. Only miners who can effectively manage costs, secure reliable energy sources, and access capital strategically are likely to remain competitive in this challenging environment.

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