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The Fed’s job did not just get easier 

The Fed’s job did not just get easier 
The latest personal consumer expenditures data shows that the Fed's preferred inflation gauge slightly declined in January, indicating that the 2% inflation target is still far away. Decreased consumer spending and significant income growth complicate the central bank's mandate and pose challenges for economic expansion. The PCE index rose 2.5% annually in January, down from 2.6% in December, while core PCE, which excludes food and energy costs, declined to 2.6%. Personal income increased by 0.9% month over month, led by private wages and salaries. However, consumer spending decreased in January, particularly in sectors like motor vehicles, household furnishings, and recreational goods. As a result, expectations for Q1 GDP outlook have significantly lowered, with the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model projecting a 1.5% contraction during the first three months of 2025, contrasting with the previous prediction of a 2.3% expansion.

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