CandleFocus

Ethereum Options Volatility Outstrips Bitcoin’s as US Election Looms. Why it Matters

The volatility of Ethereum is surpassing that of Bitcoin, with the gap continuing to widen leading up to the upcoming US election in November. The implied volatility for 30-day at-the-money Ethereum contracts relative to Bitcoin has increased to around 7%. Traders are preparing for potential volatility caused by uncertain future decentralized finance regulations in the US. Ethereum's heightened volatility suggests traders' expectations for increased uncertainty as the election approaches. Notable spikes in forward volatility are observed between October 25 and November 8, with traders anticipating significant movement during this period. Bitcoin and Ethereum are currently showing neutral sentiment, though Bitcoin is beginning to diverge slightly, indicating mild bullishness. The timing of this volatility coincides with the US election and other factors, and Bitcoin is seen as more resilient to these macro events according to traders.

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