Cryptocurrency prediction markets, such as Polymarket and Kalshi, are predicting high odds of a TikTok ban in the U.S. by May 2025. Polymarket shows a 79% likelihood of a ban with $5.6 million in trading volume, while Kalshi predicts an 89% probability with $2.23 million in wagers. These probabilities have increased significantly since January. The prediction markets operate similarly to stock exchanges, where users can buy contracts based on real-world outcomes. The potential ban has attracted attention from individuals like MrBeast, Kevin O’Leary, and Frank McCourt, who have expressed interest in acquiring TikTok. The high confidence in a ban reflects growing concerns about TikTok’s future in the U.S.



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