A controversial prediction market on Polymarket regarding Israeli military action in Syria in 2024 has faced criticism and allegations of manipulation against oracle provider UMA. The market resolution criteria require confirmation from credible sources, but attempts to settle the market as "Yes" have been rejected twice by UMA voters. Critics accuse UMA token holders of intentionally delaying resolution for economic gain. Co-founder Hart Lambur of UMA argues that voters follow Polymarket rules and have no incentive to manipulate the system. The controversy highlights flaws in decentralized betting platforms and the importance of transparent and accurate resolutions.



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