The article discusses various predictions and betting trends in the cryptocurrency prediction market. Firstly, it mentions that the upcoming second U.S. Presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is expected to draw a large audience of over 70 million people. Despite the debate, bettors are still giving Trump an edge against Harris in the Polymarket election contract, with odds at 52-46. Furthermore, there is a prediction market regarding the outcome of the Ipsos/538 survey, with bettors expecting Harris to "win" the debate. However, they also believe that this "win" will not significantly impact Harris' chances of victory in the main Polymarket election contract.

In another prediction market on Kalshi, bettors are predicting a decline in Harvard applications for the class of 2029 due to the legacy of former President Claudine Gay, who left amid plagiarism allegations and increased anti-Semitism on campus. Despite potential changes at Harvard, the market predicts that these changes will not have a substantial impact.

Finally, the article mentions a prediction market on Polymarket regarding the likelihood of a Canadian election in 2024. There is a 22% chance predicted by bettors, despite recent political shake-ups. The article discusses the dynamics of Canadian politics and the potential for the Trudeau government to fall, but also highlights the possibility of deals being made to prevent an election. The article concludes by mentioning that the Polymarket market for Canadian elections is thinly traded, and the balance may shift as more liquidity enters the market.



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