The recent approval by U.S. President Joe Biden for Ukraine to use long-range missiles against Russia has sparked concerns of a potential global conflict and even World War III. Despite Russian President Vladimir Putin's warning of the consequences, Ukraine targeted a Russian weapons depot. As tensions escalate, bettors on the prediction marketplace Polymarket are wagering on whether a nuclear weapon will be detonated before the year ends. The wager has already accumulated $1.64 million in trading volume, with odds currently at 11%. Additionally, users are placing bets on a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia in 2024, with pessimism prevailing as 94% believe the conflict will continue.



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