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Hysteresis

Hysteresis is an important concept in economics which describes how economic events can influence future events. It is the phenomenon whereby some prior economic event, such as a recession, can have lingering, long-term effects that persist in the economy even after the initial cause has ceased to exist. There are a number of ways in which hysteresis can appear in the economy, though perhaps the most well known ones are related to unemployment.

The most observable and studied form of hysteresis is the persistence of unemployment levels, even after a recession ends. This occurs when the economy faces a recession, and as a result, unemployment levels rise to a peak level – known as the cyclical rate of unemployment. The cyclical rate of unemployment is the highest level of unemployment during a recession, and it is affected by several different economic factors. When the economy recovers, economic activity increases and unemployment falls below the cyclical rate, yet the unemployment rate never falls back down to the pre-recession levels. This is especially true if the recession was long and deep, and the cyclical rate of unemployment was very high.

This phenomenon of persistent unemployment, even after the recession ends, is known as hysteresis. It is an important concept to consider in understanding an economy’s development, as it can have a major effect on unemployment levels. In addition, hysteresis can indicate permanent changes in the workforce that result from the recession. Jobs skills and experience can be lost due to layoffs and long-term unemployment, meaning that even after the recession is over, some workers remain unemployable. This can increase poverty levels or reduce the ability of some sectors to employ people in the future.

Hysteresis is an important concept in economics, and it has a wide range of effects on the economy. It can provide insight into the lingering affects of a recession, such as high unemployment or permanent changes in the workforce. It is important to consider hysteresis when discussing economic development, as understanding how economic events can influence future events is essential in building an economy that is resilient to future shocks.

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